xt0xickillax wrote:tphuang wrote:This kind of thought process is exactly why China is trying to attain MAD.
And no, B-2 has no chance getting that far in China without getting shot down. The Chinese counter stealth technology, air defense system and radar network is first rate. In recent years, USAF has seen first hand how much AWACS, anti-stealth radar and early warning radar coverage are along China's East Coast.
And no, you cannot cut China's food supply off when it can get everything it needs from Russia. In the current supply chain, the only thing you can really cut off completely from China is Iron Ore. People smarter than me have looked at it and this is what they concluded.
Also, China has no interest in getting into a war with America. It does seem like a couple of people here are really eager for a fight with China.
Really you think China can easily down the B-2? Consider that their air defense is mainly based on S-300 and look at how quickly Ukrainian S-300s are getting taken out.
It's air defense really isn't just about a few long range SAMs. Their radar technology has really benefited from being the factory of the world. For example, they dominate the GaN production that are needed for modern AESA radar.
https://www.fierceelectronics.com/elect ... n-chipsetsYou will see that all of their post 2015 radar systems are using AESA technology with GaN modules. This would apply to the really large S-Band panel radars on 055/052D, the really large anti-stealth radar
https://divsightintel.com/ylc-8e-chinas ... b444975f43, AWACS and fighter jet. They use they the long range anti-stealth radar to detect and then cue up radar system of the naval ships/SAMs and AWACs, which can then narrow beam to track onto the stealth object.
Keep in mind that they do have operational flywing aircraft like GJ-11 that they can use to test out their defenses against flywing aircraft with all-aspect stealth.
If China has no interest in a war, why are they trying to build all those islands and make airfields on them? Why are they trying to topple us in Africa, South America, Middle East, etc? China will try to conquer Taiwan have monopoly over chips and semiconductors to force their way to the top. The conflict is coming sooner or later. Look at their propaganda indoctrinating hatred for the West.
For the first part, that is definitely about controlling SCS. it's all about controlling the large trade routes from Europe/Middle East to mainland China. Their economy is dependent on import on raw material and export of machines and stuff. Given how they've de-industrialized everyone, they would like to continue to be the world's factory.
Don't believe the semiconductor hype. China wants Taiwan to recover the land of greater China, not because of semiconductor. It sees the current split as a result of an ongoing/paused civil war and a general injustice from the century of humiliation. If tomorrow, all the semiconductor fabs in Taiwan get destroyed, China will still have the same desire to achieve unification.
But above all, China will try to resolve this issue without ever firing a shot. China does not want to lose its economic relationship with the West. Unless Taiwan declares independence, I don't think you will see China invade Taiwan until the military gap is so wide that Taiwanese military admits it can't defend itself. At which point, China will try to negotiate some kind of settlement with a pro-mainland government in Taiwan.