mixelflick wrote:
But that isn't the real problem. The real problem is the fact it's not a VLO aircraft, though its often positioned as such. In fact "reduced RCS" is the term I've seen used to describe the Block I and II, with only the Block III promised to have a meaningful RCS reduction. And not everyone is convinced Block III gets built. It may, but its hard to see who's going to order it. If they manage a RCS something on the order of a clean SH, I think that's a big win for S. Korea. How much capability that buys you on the battlefield of tomorrow though, is questionable IMO.
But hey let's focus on the positives. It looks really, really sharp and the S. Koreans will no doubt have cutting edge avionics in it. As a stated F-4/F-5 replacement, it should be far superior (if not exponentially more expensive). Short production run, questionable Indonesian backing and lack of a big export customer will see to that...
Im willing to bet this aircraft in its first operational iteration will be significantly more stealthy than a Super Hornet RCS wise. Though you cant eye ball an aircraft and determine exactly how stealthy an aircraft is, however you can atleast draw some reasonable conclusions based on publicly available data. For it appears that this aircraft has a very stealthy looking outer mold/shape design. Hell it looks like a smaller version of F-22. The Super Hornet on the other hand took the legacy Hornet design made it bigger and and put
some RCS reducing measures (redesigned panels, RAM on leading edges, and redesigned intake). Even when it carries external weapons/payload I am willing to bet that the KF-21 would look smaller on a screen than a Super Hornet with similar load out.
For whatever reason South Korea didnt go full hog into VLO the first time around is anyone's guess when they have plenty of info on how (they do operate and i think they build the F-35 after all).
Potential customers is anyones guess. Will Indonesia fulfill its part of the program?

who knows at this point. One potential partner or customer could be Taiwan. If I remember correctly Taiwan is not getting the F-35 despite its pleads to the US Government. Even though the KF-21 is not an F-35, this would be a decent alternative. The KF-21 already seems to be ahead of European stealth attempts as this one is now starting its live testing.
Philippines is another potential customer, though not an economic powerhouse we are seeing the Philippine military take decent strides to modernize. Already the PAF use the KAI's F/A-50. I dont know where the Philippine government is concerning their decision between Gripens and Vipers. Having a small number of these aircraft would give the PAF substantial boost for its tiny Air Force.
Middles east is a potential market. So far the US is not going to send any F-35s to any ME countries. From my understanding the UAE was offered the F-35 during the last administration (Trump) but that got shut down once (brain dead) Biden got into the office. The KF-21 could be a step towards 5th gen capability for UAE, Qatar, and Suadi Arabia albeit the KF-21 i would consider more of a semi-5th gen aircraft.